As you are usually enjoying life and island hopping, you are probably on the forward approaches of these events. Prepare as well as you can, and stay safe.
- Thread starter Olly
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2020 Hurricane Season
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As you are usually enjoying life and island hopping, you are probably on the forward approaches of these events. Prepare as well as you can, and stay safe.
Worryingly, the models are now suggesting that the hurricane is going to pass along the north coast, no direct impact but it is a massive storm so there is likely to be some damage. Just what Las Terrenas, Cabarete, Sosua and Puerto Plata need right now eh?
I know how to reach him. I just miss his voluntary forays into the nitty gritty of potential storms.
Do we know if somebody pissed him off? He was such a cool dude on here.
That’s the thing with these storms. You really only know a few days before. Of course if its a big one Cat 3-5 its time to prepare or get out about a week before if there is a chance it hits your location.
The Weather Channel is starting to cover this well now. If you have access to that television channel. Their web site probably has the same info and videos.
Their satellite imagery shows a lot more form to the storm now. Thursday for Hispaniola. But, certainly subject to change.
Their satellite imagery shows a lot more form to the storm now. Thursday for Hispaniola. But, certainly subject to change.
There is an App called Windy I find useful. Not “our” Windy in Sosua here on dr1 lol although I do find his comments useful. The App Windy shows you the likely path the next days and updates that.
How are ya? Our boat has been hauled out and is sitting in a hurricane hole in St. Kitts.. They dig a hole and place your boat in the hole on jack stands. then the boat is securely strapped down.. Sails are stripped as is everything on deck. Drain Plug in the hull is removed for water to drain. (Yes your boat can "sink" on the hard)..
Gaby and I are on a Bahamian island where I'm doing a bit of contract work.. Gaby say's were living large in the villa we are currently staying in.. We will be back in the DR when some of the COVID dust settles... Be safe Caonabo..
I cannot begin to tell everyone how important Capt. Mike was to us with his forecasts during Cane season when we were cruising during hurricane season.. I even mentioned that I'd pay for his services because he was that good.. He's a great guy, and if anybody from DR1 knows what's needed to get him back doing the Hurricane forum again, you should do it because he is worth it. I've read about "Helping those members with DR topics"" .. What do you think he did for years...
Mike says:
nvest 92L continues to "try" to organize a very very wide area together to form a very ample Storm.
until now the dense dry Saharan Airlayer on the system's N and W is hindering that this process could happen quick.
the system still moves very fast forward, on almost 20mphr, which make's Tracking forecasts tricky, because once slowing down would allow for quicker organisation and also could change tracking significantly.
the system is on it's approach of way less than 1000 miles off the Lesser Antilles.
there is a high chance to see a TD or TS over the northern Lesser Antilles mid week,
so the best tracking "guess" at this moment would be a Storm close to Puerto Rico's North OR South this Thursday/Friday.
this early ahead, before the Storm formed up, a more precise tracking is not possible to predict.
we keep watching and will see what is really out there Tuesday night/Wednesday, which then will leave us only a short window to finish any preparations.
I don't think the dense dry air will allow a strong storm to form,
but this is a very very wide area of heavy weather and could become a serious threat for floodings, so vulnerable areas in PR and DR should soon start to get prepared for such and watch closely in case something stronger than a TD/TS would form up.
nvest 92L continues to "try" to organize a very very wide area together to form a very ample Storm.
until now the dense dry Saharan Airlayer on the system's N and W is hindering that this process could happen quick.
the system still moves very fast forward, on almost 20mphr, which make's Tracking forecasts tricky, because once slowing down would allow for quicker organisation and also could change tracking significantly.
the system is on it's approach of way less than 1000 miles off the Lesser Antilles.
there is a high chance to see a TD or TS over the northern Lesser Antilles mid week,
so the best tracking "guess" at this moment would be a Storm close to Puerto Rico's North OR South this Thursday/Friday.
this early ahead, before the Storm formed up, a more precise tracking is not possible to predict.
we keep watching and will see what is really out there Tuesday night/Wednesday, which then will leave us only a short window to finish any preparations.
I don't think the dense dry air will allow a strong storm to form,
but this is a very very wide area of heavy weather and could become a serious threat for floodings, so vulnerable areas in PR and DR should soon start to get prepared for such and watch closely in case something stronger than a TD/TS would form up.
Bob that is really helpful. Would you mind copying and pasting Mike's words of wisdom on important storms to help us all going forward?
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