2020 Hurricane Season

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GringoRubio

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Oct 15, 2015
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1595952935357.png
i
 
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william webster

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Jan 16, 2009
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Passing to the north is the usual path - historically.

it looks close but it's normally 50-100 miles offshore
The last two were that way....
wind but not disastrous....

let's hope for a repeat
 

whirleybird

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Feb 27, 2006
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Please Mike reconsider your decision to not post your usual updates and forecasts on DR1. Without you and Lindsay's (RIP) reports on Facebook many of us are feeling very much in the dark and could really use your help, please please please
 
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Auryn

Well-known member
Apr 22, 2012
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Here is a link to Mike’s Facebook group where he is posting. It would be great if he returned because he hasn’t updated as frequently as he did on here. The content Bob shared is Mike’s most recent weather post from July 23.
The fisherman seemed deliberate and conclusive when he stated that he was done with DR1. Massive loss of expertise. Hopefully he posts on his FB site this season.

https://m.facebook.com/groups/466439743758107/?ref=group_browse

If the link doesn’t work, search The Punta Cana Excursions Corner and you’ll find him.
 

Auryn

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Apr 22, 2012
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I stand corrected- check the July 23 post Bob shared. Mike has been updating in the comments as recently as 20 minutes ago. He said “it’s time to bring the cattle in” for this storm and will update again tonight.
 
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aarhus

Long live King Frederik X
Jun 10, 2008
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I stand corrected- check the July 23 post Bob shared. Mike has been updating in the comments as recently as 20 minutes ago. He said “it’s time to bring the cattle in” for this storm and will update again tonight.
I agree with Mike. I have started preparing. Bought lots of drinking water.
 

DR Solar

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Nov 21, 2016
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Let's see if this works.


It might? This is my station on the north coast that interacts with others, including Weather Underground. Appears that might be interactive so you may be able to expand some areas for more information.
 
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Olly

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Mar 12, 2007
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Latest Advisory from National Hurricane Centre EDITED FOR RELAVENT INFO FOR DR>
Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 PM AST Tue Jul 28 2020

...DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND TROPICAL-STORM-CONDITIONS
TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
PUERTO RICO...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.4N 55.9W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Warning from Cabo Caucedo northward along the northern coast
of the Dominican Republic to the northern border with Haiti

Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the
southeast and central Bahamas should monitor the progress of this
system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
14.4 North, longitude 55.9 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion with
some slight reduction in forward speed is expected over the next
few days. On the forecast track, the system is forecast to move
through the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, near or over the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico Wednesday night, and near or over
Hispaniola on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the
system is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or Wednesday.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
additional development and a tropical storm is forecast to form
tonight or Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
primarily to the northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

#####################################################

This info is in the public domain and Olly and the Team hope it helps.
 

DR Solar

Bronze
Nov 21, 2016
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83
20200728_165838.jpg
Making a run to a hurricane hole going west? Seen lots of sailboats pass us. This is one of few that knows how to set a spinnaker.
 

DR Solar

Bronze
Nov 21, 2016
1,626
365
83
Latest Advisory from National Hurricane Centre EDITED FOR RELAVENT INFO FOR DR>
Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 PM AST Tue Jul 28 2020

...DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND TROPICAL-STORM-CONDITIONS
TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
PUERTO RICO...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.4N 55.9W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Warning from Cabo Caucedo northward along the northern coast
of the Dominican Republic to the northern border with Haiti

Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the
southeast and central Bahamas should monitor the progress of this
system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
14.4 North, longitude 55.9 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion with
some slight reduction in forward speed is expected over the next
few days. On the forecast track, the system is forecast to move
through the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, near or over the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico Wednesday night, and near or over
Hispaniola on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the
system is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or Wednesday.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
additional development and a tropical storm is forecast to form
tonight or Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
primarily to the northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

#####################################################

This info is in the public domain and Olly and the Team hope it helps.
Thanks, but
..Really need to break it down to what people understand.
 

GringoRubio

Bronze
Oct 15, 2015
1,162
116
63
It's tracking further south. It looks like it will rake the North Coast. Only a tropical storm but cancel Thursday plans.
 

DR Solar

Bronze
Nov 21, 2016
1,626
365
83
The P.R. will make a huge difference with their mountains. As well as the mountains in rhe D.R. have changed the systems. . We are way ahead of ourselves.
 

william webster

Platinum
Jan 16, 2009
30,247
4,330
113
Latest Advisory from National Hurricane Centre EDITED FOR RELAVENT INFO FOR DR>
Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 PM AST Tue Jul 28 2020

...DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND TROPICAL-STORM-CONDITIONS
TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
PUERTO RICO...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.4N 55.9W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Warning from Cabo Caucedo northward along the northern coast
of the Dominican Republic to the northern border with Haiti

Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the
southeast and central Bahamas should monitor the progress of this
system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
14.4 North, longitude 55.9 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion with
some slight reduction in forward speed is expected over the next
few days. On the forecast track, the system is forecast to move
through the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, near or over the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico Wednesday night, and near or over
Hispaniola on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the
system is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or Wednesday.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
additional development and a tropical storm is forecast to form
tonight or Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
primarily to the northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

#####################################################

This info is in the public domain and Olly and the Team hope it helps.

it will be much weaker when we see it.....less than 40mph I expect
 
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