Mr. Paul,
There is no hurricane coming towards RD. This event is classified as Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine.
Not an opinion. Just the facts. Noise free, especially for you.
- Thread starter Olly
- Start date
2020 Hurricane Season
- Status
Mr. Paul,
There is no hurricane coming towards RD. This event is classified as Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine.
Not an opinion. Just the facts. Noise free, especially for you.
TP
this is really just bad rainstorm....perhaps a windy one
Don't panic yet....
there might be a real emergency later..... you'll need your strength
Since Mike's departure from DR1 was with some rancor I don't think he has granted anybody permission to copy and paste his content on here.If you want Mike's stuff join his group.
Failing that there's plenty of good info appearing here.
This one is yuge. The entire island is going to get a soaking. We need it CAASD has been water rationing.
www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov
Failing that there's plenty of good info appearing here.
This one is yuge. The entire island is going to get a soaking. We need it CAASD has been water rationing.
GOES-19 - Sector view: Caribbean - Band 10 - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR
Near real-time publication of GOES-East and GOES-West images from NOAA/NESDIS/STAR
The more it breaks up and spreads like that - the weaker it gets..... right ?
It's those concentrated , concentric ones that throw you around... isn't it ?
It's those concentrated , concentric ones that throw you around... isn't it ?
Since Mike's departure from DR1 was with some rancor I don't think he has granted anybody permission to copy and paste his content on here.If you want Mike's stuff join his group.
Failing that there's plenty of good info appearing here.
This one is yuge. The entire island is going to get a soaking. We need it CAASD has been water rationing.
GOES-19 - Sector view: Caribbean - Band 10 - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR
Near real-time publication of GOES-East and GOES-West images from NOAA/NESDIS/STAR
I actually spoke to Mike Fisher on WhatsApp, and he has no problem with his posts being copied here. He’s in the middle of moving and doesn’t have a lot of free time.
Well, if its OK, here you go:
Source: https://www.facebook.com/groups/466439743758107/post_tags/?post_tag_id=1075036902898385
sorry for my late up date, as i had no internet last evening.
this is most likely my last up date before tonight's Impact.
ATTENTION:
TD9 stayed well south of the former predicted tracking and is in the Eastern Cribbean Sea SE of Puerto Rico.
the Storm's Windfield extends almost 300 miles out to the North and NE of the Center.
All Puerto Rico and All DR will be in this powerful Windfield.
while this is not a Hurricane, it is a super Huge and very Powerful system and will be a Tropical Storm when making it's Landfall in the Dominican Republic later tonight/early Thursday morning, along our DR Southshores.
Interacting with PR first usually takes powers away from Storms, but this one will not make Landfall in PR and should not get bothered that much. PR will be completely in the N/NEern Windfield, but not touch the Center.
we have to be ready COUNTRY WIDE in the DR for over 70mphr Wind Force and torrential rainfalls for very long hours, minimum 10hrs long, but a Storm on landfall can slow down a lot, even get stationary for hours, so this could also last double that time.
do not rely on tracking forecasts for exact landfall location, this can change quick by many miles more East or West along our South Shores, once the system starts touching our high Mountain Ranges.
anyways, the full power winds and rains will most likely be felt/present Everywhere on DR Territory.
this is Not a small Tropical Storm like Jeanne back in 2004, this will be TS Isaias many times the size and powers of Jeanne.
Lock yourself in and stay inside until this all passed completely.
expect widely power outs and/or internet services down, flooded streets and do not expect businesses to be open tomorrow or friday.
Stay Safe Everyone.
Source: https://www.facebook.com/groups/466439743758107/post_tags/?post_tag_id=1075036902898385
sorry for my late up date, as i had no internet last evening.
this is most likely my last up date before tonight's Impact.
ATTENTION:
TD9 stayed well south of the former predicted tracking and is in the Eastern Cribbean Sea SE of Puerto Rico.
the Storm's Windfield extends almost 300 miles out to the North and NE of the Center.
All Puerto Rico and All DR will be in this powerful Windfield.
while this is not a Hurricane, it is a super Huge and very Powerful system and will be a Tropical Storm when making it's Landfall in the Dominican Republic later tonight/early Thursday morning, along our DR Southshores.
Interacting with PR first usually takes powers away from Storms, but this one will not make Landfall in PR and should not get bothered that much. PR will be completely in the N/NEern Windfield, but not touch the Center.
we have to be ready COUNTRY WIDE in the DR for over 70mphr Wind Force and torrential rainfalls for very long hours, minimum 10hrs long, but a Storm on landfall can slow down a lot, even get stationary for hours, so this could also last double that time.
do not rely on tracking forecasts for exact landfall location, this can change quick by many miles more East or West along our South Shores, once the system starts touching our high Mountain Ranges.
anyways, the full power winds and rains will most likely be felt/present Everywhere on DR Territory.
this is Not a small Tropical Storm like Jeanne back in 2004, this will be TS Isaias many times the size and powers of Jeanne.
Lock yourself in and stay inside until this all passed completely.
expect widely power outs and/or internet services down, flooded streets and do not expect businesses to be open tomorrow or friday.
Stay Safe Everyone.
Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits
Surface observations and satellite imagery indicate that #PTC9 is getting very close to having a closed circulation, even if it's still a broad one. Genesis of TS Isaias is likely not far off. Regardless of when this happens, tropical storm conditions likely in PR, USVI, and DR.
@TropicalTidbits
Surface observations and satellite imagery indicate that #PTC9 is getting very close to having a closed circulation, even if it's still a broad one. Genesis of TS Isaias is likely not far off. Regardless of when this happens, tropical storm conditions likely in PR, USVI, and DR.
Post-tropical Cyclone Isaias at 47.5°N - 71.8°W - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR
Near real-time publication of GOES-East and GOES-West images from NOAA/NESDIS/STAR
Will this be Moby Dick and we be swallowed?
We hope - hope - that the north coast will get a reduced version of the winds
being on the other side of the cordillera, might reduce the speeds a bit
In Nagua/Cabrera/RSJ , the ridge is right behind us... very close
hopefully will blow over our heads somewhat
Be positive !!
SD & the southern shores... right on the chin, I'm afraid
being on the other side of the cordillera, might reduce the speeds a bit
In Nagua/Cabrera/RSJ , the ridge is right behind us... very close
hopefully will blow over our heads somewhat
Be positive !!
SD & the southern shores... right on the chin, I'm afraid
Keep in mind that the NW quadrant packs the biggest punch while the center is SE of, say, Puerto Plata, that wind and rain will be slamming into the mountains from the Atlantic.
There is much uncertainty with the forecasts for Nine. I can't remember a storm of this kind so big so early in the Hurricane Season. For the DR hurricane season means September. The last hurricane that was in August, that I can remember was 30 August, Hurricane David, followed by Hurricane Frederick. From a statistical standpoint, storms in the Caribbean and this side of the world develop mostly in late August, September and October.
This is a record setting year for named storms so early in the year. We may run out of names.
Reading about this storm, what is leading to the uncertainties is that it is battling the Sahara Dust remnants and all the dry air. This is causing speculation that its center may be as down south as Barbados. The US Hunter planes have not yet found the center. And the storm is moving quickly 23mph. That is fast for storms. There have been many storms moving at a slow 5mph. A fast storm is much better than a slow storm. It causes less damage.
It is keeping south. Most tracks had shown it going much more to the north. The normal path for hurricanes this time of the year is to swerve north as they pass Puerto Rico.
Need to watch the pressure as an indicator of the threat of the storm. Let's see what the next weather forecasts bring.
This is a record setting year for named storms so early in the year. We may run out of names.
Reading about this storm, what is leading to the uncertainties is that it is battling the Sahara Dust remnants and all the dry air. This is causing speculation that its center may be as down south as Barbados. The US Hunter planes have not yet found the center. And the storm is moving quickly 23mph. That is fast for storms. There have been many storms moving at a slow 5mph. A fast storm is much better than a slow storm. It causes less damage.
It is keeping south. Most tracks had shown it going much more to the north. The normal path for hurricanes this time of the year is to swerve north as they pass Puerto Rico.
Need to watch the pressure as an indicator of the threat of the storm. Let's see what the next weather forecasts bring.
It sounds like you could be the new weather and storm expert here.
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