Yes, it stays quiet Busy out there.
none of the til now 8 Tropical Storms could gain Hurricane strength, mostly due a too dry and stable conditions in the mid Atmosphere, but they go on to Try, and the next ones are already up in the Line Up on da Highway.
no changes or unexpected moves on Tropical Storm Harvey, He is far away from Us and will never bother Us.
98L is running as expected, bothering the next 48hrs the Cape Verde Islands with Rain and nasty Windgusts,
will be most likely a Case for the Hurricane Graveyard in Mid Atlantic.
99L,
Yes, we have an additional New Invest out there this Eve,
located South of the Cape Verde Islands, movement and chances of development are at this moment Uncertain, it is too Young to tell if it will be a Pretty Girlie or a Ugly Lad at the End.
the One to watch, and from Now on We Need to Watch it closely:
97L!!!
barely a 550Miles East of the Antilles it runs into Vicinity tonight,
and it nicely shows Development this evening, it started to grow up.
surrounding conditions favor a quiet quick strengthening of the Storm, and it is not just a System anymore, 97L is def a Storm and growing Up.
right now it is running straight West towards the Central Antilles,
but steering Currents would move it the next 15-20hrs more WNW'wards, so we should await a strong Tropical Depression or a weak Tropical Storm "Irene" around the Leeward Islands this weekend.
as it still did not turn anywhere but still moves straight Westward(the worst direction for Our Isle btw) the accurate Pass of the Islands is highly uncertain.
it def will finally show up around or at least within vicinity of Puerto Rico.
that could be on a Northern Track a Pass over the PR'can Northshores, on such case just some waves and Rain for Our Eastern Shores on the Pass and then perfect Surfing and Sky-Surfers Conditions on Our Northshores for several Days.
and it could be the Southern Track, bringing it close along the PR Southshores, by actual steering Currents in the Caribbean Sea it would NOT run straight West to Pass Us far South as Emily and 93L/Harvey did, we are on our South def in for a WNW'ern Track bringing strong Systems towards Our Island, not away from it.
the Powers:
still the same struggle for the Storms.
as it happened for all 8 Tropical Storms of the Season the expected "Tropical Depression#9/Irene suffers from the beginning of Birth also under a very stable/Dry Atmosphere, so they can not grow up as big and quick as they would usually do, even that SST's are on perfect Highs and Windshear for 97L is nice Low and forecasted to stay Low for several more Days.
let's paint a Pessimistic worst case scenario out of 97L:
a weak but very lively TS Irene running over Saona Island into the South(La Romana-San Pedro), running itself dead on our High Mountains but dropping down a good share of Rain while doing so during a 48hrs of Time.
Hey,
I painted from my actual point of view the worst of all the possible Bad, no Panic.
the more likely one:
we wake up tomorrow morning and the Maps show it on a WNW'ern Route,
it passes close by Passes aside the NE'ern Islands, a heck of Rain for the Leeward Islands, a good share for Eastern Puerto Rico, a windy and wavy 10-15hrs for the Fisherman on the DR Eastshore, and the Baby(TD or TS or what ever it may be named or numbered by then) is gone too far North of the Isle to become anything memorable we would talk about a Day later, Islandlife will go on anyways.
from all the stuff shown on the Maps we need to watch just One:
97L.
it should start the change on direction during tonight,
if it does not move til Saturday mid afternoon we need to get ready for some possible trouble in lil Paradise.
Mike
