no need forpanic, as nothing on the Path changed.
don't get tricked by slightly up and down moving predictions,
such storm is for most time not wandering a straight line, it runs zick zack like a drunk,
Irma is a maximum powered perfect Storm machine.
175mphr winds damage every kind of building, where ever those forces hit land.
all that counts and safe's us is the Path of the Storm.
Irma is on 16.7N57.7W(by 8AM this mornin).
it is steaming on 14mph straight West, which been awaited and already calculated in all tracking forecasts of yesterday and last night. the tracking is on a slow turn, as you don't push such powerful machine around from one side to an other easily and specially not quick on such high forward speed. it should show more northward drift on the 2PM, hopefully for darn sure on the 5PM updates.
the Center of the Storm will wander somewhere 50-100 miles off the shoreline to our northcoast.
take that as much more than a close call.
someone mentioned above baby storms of 120mphr and that storm surge been no problem.
well, Irma is no baby storm and it's storm surge is a destructive power.
we are lucky that our natural tides are low actually, but don't thin that means nothing dangerous will roll ashore.
the NE'er Tip of PR is under highest danger, a short touchdown there is very likely.
get your stuff ready for tomorrow night, for here on the East our Wave Action will already be up during late afternoon.
on the North you should be under TS Force Winds for a very long time, such winds are powerful when moving/pondering structures for extended time frames/hrs on TS Strength.
the slightest change on Track could bring H-Force ashore.
we are close to touch down on the smaller Islands, from here we have to go in 3hrs steps and watch every update.
nothing is set in stone, not the powers, not the inishing of the turn, not the tracking.
the forecasts have been spot on with Irma so far, that give's nice confidence,
but Mother Nature is a Biach not to trust, like your Mothers in Law, just more biachi.
don't leave anything outside that could get loose and fly around, not for not loosing the thing, it is to not produce additional weapons flying around to hurt someone else or yourself.
our country's famous up-in-the-air electricity system will sure get many areas sent on vacay, so stock on gas and get used to Can Food, it's anyways healthier than all those Fat Burgers.
as for the southern part of the East Shores/Punta Cana,we are on the East/where the Beasts come from, but again it looks like we are the safe place.
we await Sea to not exceed 20ft, but thats something to look on when it rolls in.
it could really stay down that much due the counterclock wise rotation, we usually get the highest surf from Storms passin the South of the Island.
we expect winds forces just between 30-40Knots. if that's what will ariive, then we can handle that safely and some areas cut off the power grids will be the big inconvenience for some days, aside of heavy floodings of well known sections plus some new flooding areas to be shown for sure.
The Whole Island will sure as Heck get wet like never before.
here you see the heavy waterloads carried by Irma, compared to the size of the Islands.
I have all the time our friend jstarebel in mind,
he will have a heck of a ride of a life time and hopefully we will read him back here soon.
follwo all updates every 3hrs and be ready to shut all your stuff down tomorrow afternoon for 24hrs.
Mike
gre:
