- Thread starter MikeFisher
- Start date
Hurricane Season 2011
schools are canceled for the whole week, school start here been resheduled to monday august 29th
Mike
Thanks Matilda - it feels as if it has strengthened. We have heavy rain and gusty winds to about 35kts. It has also moved a bit offshore so it is still about the same here on the north coast. Power is off again so this must be weather related. Stay cool and a glass in hand and the sun will shine tomorrow !! Tomorrow never comes though!!
It seems to have moved offshore so the winds will be less but still powerfull on the north coast so take care!
OLLY
It seems to have moved offshore so the winds will be less but still powerfull on the north coast so take care!
OLLY
This is for the whole country? I'm in Puerto Plata, but haven't heard anything from my school yet and I don't have cable to watch the local news.
Worth Revisiting
This looping image is dynamic. The times at the upper left of the image are Greenwich Mean Time. The DR is Atlantic Standard Time which is GMT -4, four hours less than Greenwich. The last image in the nine image loop is about 30 minutes slower than real time. At the time of this post the last image is 00:00 (midnight) GMT which is 8 PM AST.
Hurricane Spaghetti Models / Spaghetti Charts / Tropical Forecast / Hurricane Charts Models / Tropical Update
This looping image is dynamic. The times at the upper left of the image are Greenwich Mean Time. The DR is Atlantic Standard Time which is GMT -4, four hours less than Greenwich. The last image in the nine image loop is about 30 minutes slower than real time. At the time of this post the last image is 00:00 (midnight) GMT which is 8 PM AST.
Hurricane Spaghetti Models / Spaghetti Charts / Tropical Forecast / Hurricane Charts Models / Tropical Update
Costambar starting to get pretty squally now, power been on and off, however being Costambar thats probably got nothing at all to do with the wind! The sea is roaring, had a couple of heavy downpours but now just very windy.
MikeFisher, you said Schools cancelled for the week is that all schools, my children go to O & M Hostos in POP, but have not heard anything yet?
MikeFisher, you said Schools cancelled for the week is that all schools, my children go to O & M Hostos in POP, but have not heard anything yet?
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The 8.30 nhc advisory
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 830 PM AST...0030 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST. IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A MOTION TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF
IRENE WILL MOVE JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND
HAITI TONIGHT...NEAR OR OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON TUESDAY...AND NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
EARLY WEDNESDAY.
DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND IRENE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON
TUESDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD OVER THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT AND LOCALIZED HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BY TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR OVER AREAS OF ELEVATED TERRAIN. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TUESDAY...AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY LATE
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
NORTHERN HISPANIOLA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP
TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE IN
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 9
TO 13 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. STORM SURGE
WILL ALSO RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
WAVES.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 830 PM AST...0030 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST. IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A MOTION TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF
IRENE WILL MOVE JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND
HAITI TONIGHT...NEAR OR OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON TUESDAY...AND NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
EARLY WEDNESDAY.
DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND IRENE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON
TUESDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD OVER THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT AND LOCALIZED HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BY TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR OVER AREAS OF ELEVATED TERRAIN. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TUESDAY...AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY LATE
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
NORTHERN HISPANIOLA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP
TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE IN
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 9
TO 13 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. STORM SURGE
WILL ALSO RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
WAVES.
slow down guys,
Irene is still by far not on Her closest Passing Point to your northern location, She is still coming closer.
She is Not coming In, but you are still not on the closest Rendeview Point.
of course She strengthens, She is over perfect waters and under low-medium windshear as shown a few pages back, she did organize Her Center very well, looks all exactly as the very Big Bad Girls look when they prepare to start the Intensification.
She started that Process and She will not stop before She is a Mayor Hurricane, and I believe she will pass that point of becoming a Cat3 by Many miles of windpower upwards.
once away from Our Land she will grow very quick and Big.
Irene is now running a good 100mphr of windforces with Gusts in the Range of 115-120mphr.
Her Center is closed and done ready to rumble, from now on no Dry Air will do Her any Harm, and unless any windshear would exceed extreme High points she will stay immune to such, too.
in such conditions even a Landtouch does not have the big knock down effects as it has for smaller Storms.
here we have the Tailrains since maybe 30 minutes, but still more sprinkling than real rain, it is still nothing Bad on the Tailend.
Yes, I see it myself on the Radar that there is still a large amount of water over the Channel, but most is passing nearshore over the Ocean heer in Cabeza de Toro.
Irene sticks to Her WNW'ern Route, that is the One which save You Guys up North.
don't freak about some winds of 40-50mphr(If You would get such), you will be tonight just a Stonethrow away from Real Big Winds. I saw it Here today in Vicinity, just 60 Miles away, don't try to Date with that Girl.
she will approach Your Area with the SW part of Her Face, and that's luckily Her best looking Part, the smoother Portion, not the Ugly NE and East where the Heavy Tackle is Hidden and later tonight windgusts could easily reach close to 130mphr.
Yes, she is growing in visible Size, as she is a Storm growing Her windforce due that She increases the Area where She collects all the Moisture from.
Her pressure droppe quiet a Heck the last hours since the 5PM Update, Investigational Flights will run premanently now as the US knows what is brewing and we will get all available Data together.
watch the Radar Links and Watch the NOAA Updates. they usually update every 6hrs on 8AM, 2PM, 8PM and 2AM, but during a dasngerous Storm threatening US Soil they do updates in between as seen today at 5PM, I await to see an other Update by 11PM this Eve.
right now Irene will pass the Northshores over Water, Close but in a safe Distance for everybody who stays at Home IN the HOUSE. get some lights handy, I would expect the Power to go son up there, at least it always did when smaller Systems approached in the Past, so I would guess they shut it down on Irene's approach, too.
Mike
Irene is still by far not on Her closest Passing Point to your northern location, She is still coming closer.
She is Not coming In, but you are still not on the closest Rendeview Point.
of course She strengthens, She is over perfect waters and under low-medium windshear as shown a few pages back, she did organize Her Center very well, looks all exactly as the very Big Bad Girls look when they prepare to start the Intensification.
She started that Process and She will not stop before She is a Mayor Hurricane, and I believe she will pass that point of becoming a Cat3 by Many miles of windpower upwards.
once away from Our Land she will grow very quick and Big.
Irene is now running a good 100mphr of windforces with Gusts in the Range of 115-120mphr.
Her Center is closed and done ready to rumble, from now on no Dry Air will do Her any Harm, and unless any windshear would exceed extreme High points she will stay immune to such, too.
in such conditions even a Landtouch does not have the big knock down effects as it has for smaller Storms.
here we have the Tailrains since maybe 30 minutes, but still more sprinkling than real rain, it is still nothing Bad on the Tailend.
Yes, I see it myself on the Radar that there is still a large amount of water over the Channel, but most is passing nearshore over the Ocean heer in Cabeza de Toro.
Irene sticks to Her WNW'ern Route, that is the One which save You Guys up North.
don't freak about some winds of 40-50mphr(If You would get such), you will be tonight just a Stonethrow away from Real Big Winds. I saw it Here today in Vicinity, just 60 Miles away, don't try to Date with that Girl.
she will approach Your Area with the SW part of Her Face, and that's luckily Her best looking Part, the smoother Portion, not the Ugly NE and East where the Heavy Tackle is Hidden and later tonight windgusts could easily reach close to 130mphr.
Yes, she is growing in visible Size, as she is a Storm growing Her windforce due that She increases the Area where She collects all the Moisture from.
Her pressure droppe quiet a Heck the last hours since the 5PM Update, Investigational Flights will run premanently now as the US knows what is brewing and we will get all available Data together.
watch the Radar Links and Watch the NOAA Updates. they usually update every 6hrs on 8AM, 2PM, 8PM and 2AM, but during a dasngerous Storm threatening US Soil they do updates in between as seen today at 5PM, I await to see an other Update by 11PM this Eve.
right now Irene will pass the Northshores over Water, Close but in a safe Distance for everybody who stays at Home IN the HOUSE. get some lights handy, I would expect the Power to go son up there, at least it always did when smaller Systems approached in the Past, so I would guess they shut it down on Irene's approach, too.
Mike
sorry Mark, we only asked the Teacher at our school here for our 13 years old Gal, don't know about all regions or if it's a General thingy announced Countrywide, as I never watch the News on TV, at least rarely and not lately.
Mike
Just posted on the Hostos group for facebook, school is cancelled in Pto Pta tomorrow... they didn't say the whole week, but definitely tomorrow.
Posted on Facebook page 6 mins ago!
O&M Hostos School, Puerto Plata, Dominican Republic
El director de del Distrito de Puerto Plata anunci? que las docencias ma?ana estan canceladan. The district director of the Ministry of Education in Puerto Plata anounced that there will be no classes tomorow.
O&M Hostos School, Puerto Plata, Dominican Republic
El director de del Distrito de Puerto Plata anunci? que las docencias ma?ana estan canceladan. The district director of the Ministry of Education in Puerto Plata anounced that there will be no classes tomorow.
now we are under real Rain here on the Eastshores, too.
it's pouring down with some lighter windgusts, but pouring down.
Mike
it's pouring down with some lighter windgusts, but pouring down.
Mike
Granca, Can you please give an update in the AM? We're a little nervous about the cana roofs. I hope this isn't going to be like Jeanne. What a mess!!!
I am in PC and it is gustier now than it has been all day. We received notice a few hours ago that PCIS school was on for tomorrow. Wonder if that will change?
Ninapup,
I think it has all passed Las Terrnas but I am not sure where you are- we think the worst is past for the eastern end of the island and there may be some rain but not much more than that!
I am surprised that Mike cannot reasure you as he is the DR! weather guru.
We are here on th north coast and Irene is passing more offshore than originally forcast so we are pleased.
I think it has all passed Las Terrnas but I am not sure where you are- we think the worst is past for the eastern end of the island and there may be some rain but not much more than that!
I am surprised that Mike cannot reasure you as he is the DR! weather guru.
We are here on th north coast and Irene is passing more offshore than originally forcast so we are pleased.