2023 Hurricane Season

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MiamiDRGuy

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May 19, 2013
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Hurricane Lee is now the strongest storm since Maria. It's moving NE at 9mph and it's brewing 165mph.
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
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It is moving WNW at 16mhr.
Hurricane Lee is the perfect cyclone and will run the maximum possible powers a Cyclone could produce.
That windfield is very large, so the produced storm surge is not only strong but will also be send out over a very wide area towards it's Front/Western Direction and out to the North.
This storm is the worst that mother nature could produce as a tropical cyclone.
The forecasted direction luckily keeps it on it's Track to miss us far NE/N.
We can just hope that this thing never hit's any inhabited landmass anywhere, as this one would not leave any stone above an other anywhere.
We keep watching and all fingers crossed from the Leeward Islands to the USA and Atlantic Canada.
 

MiamiDRGuy

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May 19, 2013
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Lee is now reached 175mph. it will overgrown to 180-190mph by tomorrow at 8am. Once this storm hits 200mph, it will be the largest and massive storm ever since on this earth.
 

El Hijo de Manolo

It's outrageous, egregious, preposterous!
Dec 10, 2021
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Dominican Republic
Lee is now reached 175mph. it will overgrown to 180-190mph by tomorrow at 8am. Once this storm hits 200mph, it will be the largest and massive storm ever since on this earth.
"Ever" is lofty considering the small, insignificant amount of time we have been tracking weather in relation to the age of the Earth. 🤔
 

MariaRubia

Well-known member
Jun 25, 2019
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Mike if it were to hit land would a storm that powerful destroy modern concrete buildings?
 

chico bill

Dogs Better than People
May 6, 2016
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Lee is now reached 175mph. it will overgrown to 180-190mph by tomorrow at 8am. Once this storm hits 200mph, it will be the largest and massive storm ever since on this earth.
Are you predicting it will reach 200 MPH or just fear mongering ? Because unless it can get into the warm gulf waters it will loose power if it turns for the colder waters of the Northern Atlantic as predicted
 

El Hijo de Manolo

It's outrageous, egregious, preposterous!
Dec 10, 2021
4,424
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Dominican Republic
Mike if it were to hit land would a storm that powerful destroy modern concrete buildings?
Sometimes you just have to use the math we learned in physics. These calculations would include wind load effects on a structure such as uplift, shear and lateral wind load. Even if you didn't take a high school course in general physics, Google can help! Maria, also, do you thing modern buildings are constructed without taking these factors into consideration? Or are you just bored?
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
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Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
Mike if it were to hit land would a storm that powerful destroy modern concrete buildings?
Such wind forces, when passing by slowly, bring immense vibrations to anything they bounce on.
Define ¨modern concrete buildings¨, we are in DR, lol.
I personally would not count on structures here to stand long hours of constant 300Km/hr wind forces shaking it up.
Such big storm would do a real clean up in Punta Cana, like the old saying "only the Strong survive".
It is not that such houses would get all knocked down or fly away, they would show their scares and the many cheap unengineered Walls of buildings would go down or pieces taken away.
Where ever such Forces hit inhabited areas, infrastructures/power grids, non "supermodern buildings" will get a face lifting of the finest.
 
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chico bill

Dogs Better than People
May 6, 2016
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It is moving WNW at 16mhr.
Hurricane Lee is the perfect cyclone and will run the maximum possible powers a Cyclone could produce.
That windfield is very large, so the produced storm surge is not only strong but will also be send out over a very wide area towards it's Front/Western Direction and out to the North.
This storm is the worst that mother nature could produce as a tropical cyclone.
The forecasted direction luckily keeps it on it's Track to miss us far NE/N.
We can just hope that this thing never hit's any inhabited landmass anywhere, as this one would not leave any stone above an other anywhere.
We keep watching and all fingers crossed from the Leeward Islands to the USA and Atlantic Canada.
Cyclone is usually reserved for the South Pacific and Indian Oceans 'anti-cyclonic' rotating storms and Hurricanes for Atlantic and North Pacific cyclonic spinning storms.
Hurricanes, are North of the equator & spin counter clockwise while cyclones (South of the Equator) spin in the clockwise direction
 
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MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,814
2,273
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Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
Lee is without doubt a Super Storm, one of those rare Cat5 Machines nobody wanna hook up with for a cold one.
But today it also got his first Caribbean welcome slap, some small area by a good 30 knots of wind shear along it's Northern Side, which cut it's thunderstorm activity on the Northern Quadrants for a while completely off.
At this moment all the powers moved to the S side of the storm, where they keep playing on strong forces, by Sat shots it is at this moment estimated on a 140-150mphr Wind Force with the North to be way on the quieter side.
It will leave the bothering area of wind shear during the next few hours and I have no doubt that it will recover it's bother of perfect looking famous, so in the morning it could/should be some tads stronger than it is now at this moment and manage to move the Thunderstorm areas back to it's northern sides, to be a all around well formed big bad guy again.
No matter, as the Tracking stays the same as it was forecasted since days already.
As powerful as it is, with actually around 940mb of Central Pressure, it will have to respect mother natures rules and get steered by staying away from high pressure areas.
Our Atlantic high of a good 2020mb, has to it's South/towards the path of Lee a 2016mb Ridge built, which such storm could not cross.
Lucky for Us is, that this ridge is far enough North of the Storm, so it can continue it's naturally seeked for WNW Tracking, as otherwise it would come straight in on a W tracking running to date unknown havok,
means it will continue on the forecasted Tracking passing us far North of us towards the WNW and at the western end of the Ridge, it will face in front of it High Pressure areas over the USA Mainland, to avoid equally, that opens it's only possible way to move NW, NNW, N and turn towards NNEwards,
which will safe very most likely the SE USA from an encounter with something nobody wanna face.
To where it will go from there, towards the northern US East or the Canadian Maritimes or turn out completely NE and away from anybody, that's now really far too long of a long range guess, as those Ridges move constantly, steering conditions vary /change constantly, so it has to be watched until it is far gone away from our home.
For Us Islanders on Hispañola, it looks by now almost certain that Lee will be something we heard about in the News, that's it.
What I can not estimate is what it's high surf spread around will be like of an impact on our beaches on the E, NE and along the N Shores of DR,
such high surf bouncing can do quiet some significant damage,
but we are lucky to not get any of it's winds nor damaging rainfalls, as Lee will not come anywhere close to our home, by the actually present situation.
It will be out there and monitored for quiet a longer while, this thing does not go away anywhere soon and could still threaten quiet some inhabited locations on it's future way, but WE will not be part of those locations.
Important:
We have to watch it all the time, as we know by past time own experiences, that such things can and sometimes DO strange movements/turns etc etc,
so in case something unexpected starts to happen, we would have to move our butts and get ready.
But by now, Hurricane Lee will not bother a BBQ weekend here on the DR SE Shores.
 
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