Hurricane Lee did still not recover the hit from last night and is since some hours in touch with the southernmost part of the wind shear area, only around 25 knots of counter winds, but they manage to force him to keep it's heaviest thunderstorm areas on it's South, which is not natural for such machine,
a big strong Storm heading WNW wanna have it's main force on it's NEern sides to keep the fuel flowing.
hence now it is shown as even weaker than it was in the morning and by Noon today.
The Wind shear does not show any quick move away, so the Storm will come closer to the heavier part of the wind shear to it's North and NW.
Steering Conditions continue great to allow it to continue NWward, while the moment of the Northward Turn as steep as shown on the forecasts is not written in stone, yet.
It will most likely slow down more on it's forward speed, but there is hope that it stays fast enough to stick with the wind shear area, to stay bothered.
If that wind shear moves out, conditions for quick intensification will be right away very good for the Storm, but that far North then it should not manage to come back as a Super Storm, it's top powers are gone and done.
IF wind shear moves out, it could become a Cat3 again, but still not a max power Cat5 again.
If wind shear sticks around during tomorrow, then I don't see it coming back as Cat3 while we are within it's range.
I hope in a few days we remember Lee in our books as our lucky one, the big bad thing that didn't come close by.
As for the actual weather over here, the rest of the day stayed super hot, barely wind to feel, only one short few minutes shower early evening.
I really had hope to get some more rain during today from the Vaguada, but since early morning nothing happened.
Maybe tonight, while I see the stars out on one side, the other is pitch dark, so there is hope.
It is still super hot and humid up here.
a big strong Storm heading WNW wanna have it's main force on it's NEern sides to keep the fuel flowing.
hence now it is shown as even weaker than it was in the morning and by Noon today.
The Wind shear does not show any quick move away, so the Storm will come closer to the heavier part of the wind shear to it's North and NW.
Steering Conditions continue great to allow it to continue NWward, while the moment of the Northward Turn as steep as shown on the forecasts is not written in stone, yet.
It will most likely slow down more on it's forward speed, but there is hope that it stays fast enough to stick with the wind shear area, to stay bothered.
If that wind shear moves out, conditions for quick intensification will be right away very good for the Storm, but that far North then it should not manage to come back as a Super Storm, it's top powers are gone and done.
IF wind shear moves out, it could become a Cat3 again, but still not a max power Cat5 again.
If wind shear sticks around during tomorrow, then I don't see it coming back as Cat3 while we are within it's range.
I hope in a few days we remember Lee in our books as our lucky one, the big bad thing that didn't come close by.
As for the actual weather over here, the rest of the day stayed super hot, barely wind to feel, only one short few minutes shower early evening.
I really had hope to get some more rain during today from the Vaguada, but since early morning nothing happened.
Maybe tonight, while I see the stars out on one side, the other is pitch dark, so there is hope.
It is still super hot and humid up here.